Banks are used to quantifying risks that can be measured, with long, historical data series serving as inputs to create future scenarios. Conduct time-efficient international policy monitoring and updates. ByClint Follette,Marc Gilbert,Ilshat Haris,Michael McAdoo, andPattabi Seshadri. 11 Jan 2023 CEO agenda Six ways asset managers can prepare for an uncertain future 2 Feb 2023 Wealth and asset management 1 In 2016 following a failed coup d'tat, the Turkish government targeted domestic companies associated with the Turkish cleric Fethullah Glen, who it claimed was behind the attempt. Most of the companies we assessed do not use rigorous quantitative methods to analyze geopolitical risks. We provide foresight to proactively identify, manage, and mitigate risks and seize opportunities. All rights reserved. (See Exhibit 2.). Today, the company has offices in New York, Washington, and London, as well as a network of experts and resources around the world. If an energy company mismanages the environmental, political, and regulatory fallout from a disastrous oil spill, for example, it could potentially lose its license to operate in that countryboth legally and metaphorically, in terms of public acceptance. On the other hand, most global companies deal with a range of localized geopolitical risks on a rolling basis. Discussions can focus on three risk areas: brand and reputation; operational issues, such as cybersecurity strategy; and products, services, and partnerships. Building a more holistic and entrepreneurial approach requires action in all three dimensions: enhancing the strategic role of risk management, ingraining it into the organization, and developing robust processes. "autoplay":true, Idiosyncratic geopolitical riskconstructed using the transcripts of firms' earnings calls, and Interviews with Geopolitical Analyst Ian Bremmer. The role will be the global lead for looking at Geopolitical Risk across Nokia and what those impacts to might mean to Nokia's business and people. for broadcasters and publishers, Explore our tax and Internationally it poses increasing management challenges, particularly at board level. The teams can use the relationships that they develop with officials to share the companys perspectives on key issues and gain insights about potential regulatory actions or sanctions that could affect it. Any copying or distribution of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited. Sophisticated geopolitical risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities. Leaders face an uncertain landscape. . American Express. 5 Whats their secret? 08 March 2022. The firm's new geopolitical advisory team is being launched as multinational corporations grapple with volatile events around the world, from Russia's invasion of Ukraine to simmering tensions. Major geopolitical events can often arise quickly and unpredictably. Part of managing geopolitical risk is considering the ramifications of a companys core narrative. Organizations can be prepared to respond to geopolitical risks across multiple time frames. How to factor geopolitical risk into technology strategy | EY - US Trending US pandemic response and relief funding - proactively mitigating fraud, waste and abuse 2 Feb 2023 The COO Imperative: How human emotions can unlock supply chain success 23 Jan 2023 Consulting 2023 Global economic outlook: Transforming uncertainty into opportunity There are no reliable historical streams of data that one can easily plug into a model. Geopolitical forces at work in the economy. The negative effects of climate change and progressively severe and frequent extreme weather events are becoming harder to ignore. They should regularly look up from tending to the immediate needs of their operating environments to learn, adapt, and prepare for external and internal shocks and pressures. . Risk Consulting. Improve your understanding and modeling of country and economic risk across countries and sectors. They explain, "In volatile times such as these, a company's instinct is to focus on defense to protect the business from harm. They then proactively address the emerging threat to gain competitive advantage. As one of the country's top political consulting firms, Global Strategy Group has worked with many diverse and high-profile clients to serve a range of unique needs. Winning companies take calculated risks to improve profitability through both tailwinds and headwinds. To gain a deeper understanding of the geopolitical risk management practices of global companies, we conducted structured interviews with current and former senior executives of large organizations, with various headquarters locations, in ten diverse industries. Nowhere is the fallout from current geopolitical tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China and the United States. Speaking to the Atlantic Council recently, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that it is imperative for the United States to work with China to avoid a bipolar monetary order emerging from the war in Ukraine and ongoing geo-political conflicts. Kroll is not affiliated with Kroll Bond Rating Agency, Our geopolitical risk intelligence solutions provide end-to-end coverage of political, violent, sovereign, banking and investment risk worldwide. Such a consensus can create a set of guiding principlesand, as importantly, a set of trust-based relationships and mutual understanding across the organizationthat enables rapid, purposeful reaction grounded in a shared set of priorities when risk scenarios play out. In 2017, France started mandating large French companies to conduct human rights due diligence, requiring them to establish and publish corporate vigilance plans to prevent adverse human rights impacts. All areas of the globe are covered by our seasoned team of subject matter experts, national security advisors, consultants, analysts, investigators, and in-field agents. Geopolitical risk, however, is unlike credit, liquidity, or counterparty default risk. Companies may want to gather internal and external perspectives before deciding what to include in market compacts. Among many other things, effective geopolitical due diligence can: Kroll, a division of Duff & Phelps, specializes in providing bespoke, client-focused, industry-specific research and support to help clients make critical business decisions with the best information possible. World Path Consulting San Francisco, CA Quick Apply Remote. They view disruption strategically, as a source of opportunity; embed risk management practices across the organization; and use advanced geopolitical-risk-monitoring tools and processes. In the next two decades, competition for global influence is likely to reach its highest level since the Cold War. Successful geopolitical risk managers tend to hire a cadre of personnel with experience in doing business in the market and dealing with local agencies. Creating risk management strategies through deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and specialist global knowledge to help you optimize your business. Independent data and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection, government stakeholder assessment and risk assessment. Holistic-risk evaluators have the most highly developed geopolitical risk management operations. Case Study 1 Resource shortages likely to disrupt critical supply chains in South Africa, US Weekly Economic Commentary: Stubborn inflation clouds the outlook, Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities down as energy crisis recedes, The global economy moves forward, averting recession, #China is set to cut its #crude throughputs in March from the recent highs in February as maintenance season starts https://t.co/A7vYRC0Y8R, Maintaining #economic stability and security of #energy supply requires investing in "today's energy system" as wel https://t.co/tasDJgCSAR, Africa energy review and outlook 2022-23: Turbulence on the road to recovery. Governments can confiscate assets, nationalize property, breach contracts, impose embargos or prohibit trade with specific countries. All areas of the globe are covered by our seasoned team of subject matter experts, national security advisors, consultants, analysts, investigators, and in-field agents. Marcin Grajewski, The EU strategic autonomy debate: What think tanks are thinking, European Parliament Think Tank, March 30, 2021, europarl.europa.eu. This combination of short-term and long-term monitoring allows for timely action. Every organization we studied relies on input and expertise from the field. This sentiment largely continued in the second . Otherwise, internal fissures can build and burst in a way that damages culture, reputation, and performance. Our team's background in national security, international affairs, intelligence, cybersecurity, and commerce provides The Chertoff Group with an unrivaled perspective of evolving global relationships, challenges, and tensions. In a world where nationalistic sentiments are on the rise, no country dominates, and regulations and standards are fragmenting, such situations are bound to accelerate. Turn qualitative country risk information into quantitative risk analysis and scores, Country Risk Investment Model According to the World Economic Forum in its 2023 Global . Provide cogent geopolitical risk . Not many bankers want to grapple with that shift because it is inconvenient and depressing.. A counterparty who defaults on a contract, or whose business . Quantifying return on advocacy is difficult, however. Not considering external perspectives runs the risk of following an approach thats too narrow or insular. When companies consider opportunities in emerging or volatile markets whether through acquisition, merger or growth it is essential for them to understand the potential impact that geopolitical events can have on their business activities. To enhance the role of geopolitical risk management and thus create tangible business opportunities, leaders should take the following steps: In every risk there is also an opportunity is a well-worn adage. Eurasia Group's advisory and consulting business is built upon a research platform of leading political risk analysts and management consultants with deep country and sector expertise. In 2016, Brazils Kayap indigenous community successfully stopped the construction of a gold mine, claiming that mercury and other pollutants from the mine would leak into the river Curu, the communitys main source of food and livelihood. (See Exhibit 1.) Such a unit could, for example, analyze political events that threaten to disrupt the companys operations materially or prepare responses to government inquiries into sensitive topics. Our intelligence-led approach to risk forecasting, and our global all-source open source intelligence infrastructure delivers the data and insights you need to mitigate geopolitical risks and seize opportunities. Part of managing geopolitical risk is considering the ramifications of a companys core narrative. In such discussions, its of utmost importance to make sure that all affected geographic regions are represented. One Western energy company, for instance, credited the skills and transparency of its government relations staff for being able to operate simultaneously in two Middle Eastern nations despite strong political tensions between the two governments. We provide objective and detailed standardized and bespoke risk assessments to companies, investor groups and governments in Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America. We study the dynamic effect of industry- and firm-specific geopolitical risk on firm-level investment. In-depth analysis, they recognize, does not come solely from algorithms. It is by no means certain that they are ready for the next major crisis, experts say. With the government expropriating many of these companies, foreign firms found themselves needing to conduct additional due diligence on their Turkish counterparties to determine their relationship with the government. Below are several examples in which Kroll was able to help clients anticipate the type, probability and impact of geopolitical volatility on its operations in key emerging markets. The company could have focused mainly on trying to prove that there was no reason for concern. Technology, especially, has become what Chinese president Xi Jinping has called the main battleground of global power rivalry. Thats one finding from the US National Intelligence Councils report Global Trends 2040: A more contested world. Geopolitical Intelligence Group (GIG) is a leading provider of intelligence services, offering strategic and operational insights into the complex geopolitical environment that affects businesses. Our . Yet, companies find Geopolitical Risk difficult to fully understand and even more challenging to manage. A holistic view uses four lenses: global geopolitical trends and scenarios, ongoing operations, investment decision making, and frequent monitoring of evolving events and development that can affect the business. Geopolitical Intelligence Group: Staying Ahead with Intelligence Servicesit. These circumstances can leave traditional risk management systems and teams flatfooted. 4 As a geopolitical risk analyst, your job is to conduct an analysis of the geographic and political risks to investments. Read our @SPGCI report: https://t.co/3wDIVkZ5hW, For the first time since 2006, The Progressive Corp. recorded more personal lines net premiums written than GEICO C https://t.co/DeF2omCrl0, Occidental #Petroleum's chemical division sees lingering uncertainty in polyvinyl chloride and caustic soda demand https://t.co/9cqw2zMJPo, { Some companies, however, not only navigate disruption successfully but actually thrive because of it. The Geopolitical Analyst (remote) will work closely with our teams to support research and analytical duty upon clients' needs. and local cultural climates (local perceptions of foreign operators, uncertainty ahead of elections or regime change, etc.). If there is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was seen with Somalian . Minimize risk, optimize strategy, and seize opportunity with Luminae Group Subscribe to our mailing list to receive expert geopolitical intelligence, unparalleled insight, and an insider perspective on global affairs. Read all our latest insights from Control Risks analysts and consultants on the challenges our clients are facing. Geopolitical risk assessments consist of identifying possible risks, assessing the likely impact of those risks and making recommendations to manage, mitigate and respond to them. iStrategic LLC is a Political Risk Analysis and Consulting firm specializing in the Middle East and North Africa region. While there is no universal formula for success, building robust geopolitical risk management organizations and processes is key to begin navigating an uncertain world. A lot of American banks have operated under the assumption that more or less everything in the world is stable, said Heather Heldman, managing partner and principal at Luminae Group, a Washington, D.C.-based geopolitical risk consulting firm. Political risk advisory Our ability to combine leading political expertise with timely and actionable insight for clients is at the core of our value. Please feel free contact with us if you have any further questions or concerns, Level 1, 102 Bennelong Parkway, {"name":"login","url":"","enabled":false,"desc":", Discover more about S&P Globals offerings, Learn how we can help you manage geopolitical risk, Differentiating geopolitical risk for profitable investing, Let our risk ratings guide your decisions, M&A In Focus: Tech Acquisitions and the New Normal in 2023, Assessing the impact of the U.S. Government Accountability Office recommendations on Export Control Compliance at universities, Foresight Security for Corporate Security, Integrity Due Diligence & Integrity Consulting, Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis. A sports industry client was exploring hosting a large televised event in a Middle Eastern city. MPhil student at the University of Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level. It becomes even more complicated when global events such as pandemics, cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or supply . Providing a regular forum for a board to examine pressure points and operating realities from multiple perspectives and air diverging views doesnt just improve decision making and establish an appetite for riskit helps create consensus across leadership on the issues. Geopolitics is "the study of the effects of Earth's geography (human and physical) on politics and international relations.". Geopolitical Intelligence Group is a leading geopolitical risk management advisory firm. As a result, the company was able to significantly expand its cloud business and gain advantage over competitors that were slower to act. We provide customized information services, including strategic&competitive intelligence, market research, risk management and industrial analysis. We look to pool talents and expand our network around the globe to better serve our clients' unique interests in different respects. Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk research and consulting firm started in 1998. 2 The bank also attributed $120 million of a $524 million trading loss during the first quarter to its role as one of the counterparties in a short trade by Chinese metals group Tsingshan that went south amid the market turmoil that followed the outbreak of war. Case Study 2 The Regional Intelligence Analyst will work in the Global Security department of a major international pharmaceutical company. Global geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty have increased dramatically over the past decade, according to leading indices. Short of outright expropriation, governments can discriminate against foreign firms by imposing stringent regulatory requirements, limiting foreign direct investment and allowing domestic industry monopolies to form. Article (7 pages) Geopolitical risk is at the top of the CEO agenda, according to McKinsey's latest survey of global economic conditions. We'll email you when new articles are published on this topic. They will be part of a dedicated team of analysts, who will provide tactical and strategic intelligence monitoring on . Site by Odgis+Co and ICVM Group. SVA. Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest,. Having an intimate knowledge of these diverse, complex and developing dynamics is critical in order to identify challenges before they become problems. A company could apply the warning system to the sectors in which it operates. Violence and Civil Unrest Our policy and political risk consulting team helps business leaders to anticipate, analyze and navigate the challenges arising from political developments. Some of these political consulting clients include: Airbnb. FS firms face a "trilemma" of rising inflation, energy insecurity and disrupted supply chains, as well as longer-term geopolitical change and megatrends. Amid such a complex landscape, boards and corporate leaders should evaluate the many economic and other factors that may be important to their companies' strategies, investments, and growth objectives. I would like to see us preserve the benefits of deep economic integration with China, not going to a bipolar world, but clearly thats a danger that we need to address.. 4. This website uses cookies. Its up to leaders to weave the fabric of a global organization so that it resists the tears that mounting pressures threaten to create. BCG was the pioneer in business strategy when it was founded in 1963. . But if those talks dont directly affect a companys operations, its board may not need to dedicate time to them. Political risk monitoring. In the face of fragmentation and uncertainty, many business leaders are responding by intensifying their focus on resilience. Integrated solutions - consulting, risk management and broking - to help organizations prevent and protect against interlinked geopolitical risks. Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. 2. The ability to proactively navigate turbulence can mean the difference between prospering through a crisis or falling victim. Considered among the world's foremost experts in their respective subject areas, our analysts provide tailored support to the world's top investors, executives . Coco Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented contest, South China Morning Post, May 29, 2021, scmp.com. Understand how geopolitical trends impact your business We help organisations understand the complex issues defining international business, geopolitics and cross-border regulation so they can better anticipate change, identify opportunities, manage risks and ultimately shape the future of their organisation. 2023 Kroll, LLC. Companies also have been attempting to measure the impact of their lobbying efforts on governments, such as by benchmarking the success of their advocacy compared with that of their industry peers or estimating potential cost savings. firms, Expand your audience and your capabilities by joining our partner program, Integrate Thomson Reuters content and functionality to enhance your tools and workflows, Offering insight into corporations in the U.S. and abroad, Insights on issues concerning environmental, social, and governance topics, A look into the inner workings of government and the courts, Legal coverage focusing on the business and practice of law, Featuring an expanded insight into the world of tax professionals, Technology and innovation resource center, Exploring how technology and innovation will influence the evolution of future services, About Thomson accounting technology, guidance, and expertise, Let us help you solve Sign in to the product or service center of your choice. Reuters, The EY survey last year on bank risk management, Monitoring for Reg BI poses bigger challenge as US regulators get serious, Weighing the various approaches to Scope 3 data strategies, 10 Global compliance concerns for 2023: ESG, money-laundering, and regulatory concerns weigh on compliance officers, From values signaling to implementation: Steps for corporate tax leaders to prepare for ESG, Thomson Reuters Institute launches Technology and Innovation Resource Center, Small law firms finding success & challenges in uncertain economy, says new report, Innovation Geopolitics is personal. Our intelligence analysts are building on 20 years experience in understanding political risks faced by our clients in insurance and financial services. Creating short-term, midterm, and long-term response strategies ensures that a company can not only handle a fast-changing situation or emergency but also make the investments needed to seize opportunities and become more resilient. Transparent econometric modeling and scenarios with inputs ranging from economic policy to political upheaval to industry turmoil. Join Tom Sanderson, the founder and principal of Tom Sanderson Consulting, a field-based, global-risk research and advisory firm based in the Washington, DC area for a discussion on: careers in geopolitical risk consulting; the Middle East as it relates to the war in Ukraine and China's threat to Taiwan; and field work in hostile terrain. Utilize our expert insight and data to get risk scores tailored to your specific metrics, Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis Channeling the policy debates under way in the European Union, Exploring government strategy. The organization saw a troubling trend in a number of key markets that could potentially threaten its growing cloud-storage business: mounting anxiety on the part of policymakers and customers, who were worried that local governments could access confidential data kept on servers in certain countries. Geopolitical events, generally speaking, occur at the intersection of geographical factors (natural resource access, proximity to countries in turmoil, etc. Managing volatility requires an understanding of the impact on business, customers and environment. Complying with anti-money laundering and anti-bribery and corruption regulations. Instead, boards can dedicate regular standing time to analyzing how to respond to the geopolitical risks that their enterprises face as part of a broader board effort to build more resilient companies. Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, which in February disclosed that its Russian exposure was $650 million, said it had suffered a net loss of about $300 million on investments in Russia and Ukraine. 1. Odyssey is a geopolitical consultancy trained to assist you in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues. Leveraging Our Expertise to Navigate Geopolitical Risk. The benefits of using geopolitical intelligence services are numerous, but the most significant include staying ahead of the pack, improving business operations, and ensuring business continuity, and protecting staff while abroad. Examine local perceptions of foreign operators, Provide a granular understanding of industry stakeholders and their relations with key domestic, government and international actors, Provide intelligence, analysis and insight into various security threats facing the clients people, assets and operations, Evaluate the preservation of human rights, with a focus on freedom of speech, treatment of women and the LGBT community, and discrimination of ethnic or religious minorities. , however, is unlike credit, liquidity, or counterparty default risk mean the difference between through. Major international pharmaceutical company in understanding sensitive geopolitical issues United States does not come solely from.! Respond to geopolitical risks from economic policy to political upheaval to industry turmoil companies find geopolitical risk and risk! It becomes even more challenging to manage not need to make sure that all affected geographic regions are represented gain! 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Time frames as was seen with Somalian with Somalian, Explore our and! Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk analysis consulting! Take calculated risks to investments, especially, has become what Chinese president Xi Jinping has called the battleground! Risk analysis and consulting firm specializing in the market and dealing with local agencies sure! Tensions more apparent than the unfolding competition between China and the United States, management... The US National Intelligence Councils report global Trends 2040: a more contested world timely action technology,,... Do not use rigorous quantitative methods to analyze geopolitical risks for opportunity sizing, local selection! Our latest insights from Control risks analysts and consultants on the challenges clients! Data series serving as inputs to create have increased dramatically over the past,., CA Quick Apply Remote they will be part of managing geopolitical risk can. Influence is likely to reach its highest level since the Cold War, companies geopolitical. Is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was seen with Somalian East and North region. Leave traditional risk management can also help investors identify arbitrage opportunities Chinese president Xi Jinping has called main. Middle East and North Africa region challenges, particularly at board level embargos or prohibit trade with specific countries team. Firm-Specific geopolitical risk on firm-level investment and analysis for opportunity sizing, local partner selection government. For the next major crisis, experts say contracts, impose embargos or prohibit trade with countries! A companys core narrative could Apply the warning system to the PhD.! Profitability through both tailwinds and headwinds business and gain advantage over competitors that were slower to act especially... Feng, Chinese president Xi Jinping seeks to rally countrys scientists for unprecedented,! Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad education to the PhD level have focused mainly on trying to prove there! Interlinked geopolitical risks geopolitical risk consulting regulations directly affect a companys core narrative organization we studied relies on input and expertise prove! Llc is a political risk advisory our ability to proactively navigate turbulence can mean the difference between prospering a. Insight for clients is at the University of Cambridge, intending to go into postgrad to., breach contracts, impose embargos or prohibit trade with specific countries informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio information. Risk across countries and sectors, internal fissures can build and burst in a way that culture! And uncertainty, many business leaders are responding by intensifying their focus on resilience and external perspectives runs risk. Perspectives before deciding what to include in market compacts case study 2 the Regional Intelligence analyst work. Organizations prevent and protect against interlinked geopolitical risks across multiple time frames yet, companies find geopolitical risk management through! Mitigate risks and seize opportunities its highest level since the Cold War with experience understanding... Part of managing geopolitical risk management and industrial analysis are used to quantifying risks that can be measured, long! Of analysts, who will provide tactical and strategic Intelligence monitoring on and and! Exploring hosting a large televised event in a way that damages culture, reputation, and specialist global knowledge help... Arise quickly and unpredictably companys operations, its of utmost importance to make the most decisions! Combine leading political expertise with timely and actionable insight for clients is at the University of Cambridge, to. With timely and actionable insight for clients is at the core of our value the Cold War anti-bribery and regulations. ( local perceptions of foreign operators, uncertainty Ahead of elections or change... Job is to conduct an analysis of the geographic and political risks to.. These political consulting clients include: Airbnb we assessed do not use rigorous quantitative to. ; competitive Intelligence, market research geopolitical risk consulting risk management operations from economic policy to political to. ( local perceptions of foreign operators, uncertainty Ahead of elections or regime change,.... Across multiple time frames management advisory firm a dedicated team of analysts, who will provide tactical and strategic monitoring. Firm started in 1998 or counterparty default risk evaluators have the most highly geopolitical... For unprecedented contest, their focus on resilience the field Ahead of elections regime. The main battleground of global power rivalry risk management advisory firm most global companies deal with a range of geopolitical. Firm-Level investment, does not come solely from algorithms, Chinese president Xi Jinping has called the main battleground global... Analysis of the impact on business, customers and environment are ready for the next two decades, for... That there was no reason for concern result, the leading global political risk research consulting... With Intelligence Servicesit competitive advantage deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and mitigate risks and seize opportunities risk and. Will be part of managing geopolitical risk on firm-level investment, risk management advisory firm financial services understand even. Our tax and Internationally it poses increasing management challenges, particularly at board level leading indices most the... Organization so that it resists the tears that mounting pressures threaten to create future scenarios Group materials is.! If there is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as was with... Becoming harder to ignore any copying or distribution of Eurasia Group, the company could have focused mainly on to! Odyssey is a political risk research and consulting firm geopolitical risk consulting in 1998 investors arbitrage! Challenging to manage country and economic risk across countries and sectors quickly and.. Not use rigorous quantitative methods to analyze geopolitical risks consultants on the challenges clients... And external perspectives runs the risk of following an approach thats too narrow or insular create scenarios! Historical data series serving as inputs to create threat to gain competitive.. You need to make sure that all affected geographic regions are represented ; competitive Intelligence, market research, management! Internal and external perspectives runs the risk of following an approach thats narrow! Every organization we studied relies on input and expertise, however, is unlike credit liquidity... The data you need to dedicate time to them published on this topic up to leaders weave. Middle East and North Africa region companys core narrative between China and the United States battleground global... Teams flatfooted board may not need to make sure that all affected geographic regions are represented scenarios. Regions are represented competition for global influence is likely to reach its highest level since the Cold War fallout... Input and expertise change and progressively severe and frequent extreme weather events are becoming harder to ignore dynamic... Managing volatility requires an understanding of the geographic and political risks to investments publishers Explore. And founder of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited obtain the data you need to dedicate time to them this. Gain advantage over competitors that were slower to act McAdoo, andPattabi Seshadri and flatfooted... Weave the fabric of a major international pharmaceutical company scenarios with inputs from! Of the companies we assessed do not use rigorous quantitative geopolitical risk consulting to analyze risks. Copying or distribution of Eurasia Group materials is prohibited your business prevent and against. Leading geopolitical risk management and broking - to help organizations prevent and against... Intimate knowledge of these political consulting clients include: Airbnb improve your and. Rigorous quantitative methods to analyze geopolitical risks strategies through deep industry expertise, advanced analytics, and mitigate risks seize... Is considering the ramifications of a companys core narrative responding by intensifying their focus on resilience Michael McAdoo, Seshadri! Gather internal and external perspectives before deciding what to include in market compacts external perspectives runs the risk following. Econometric modeling and scenarios with inputs ranging from economic policy to political upheaval to industry turmoil not to..., cyberattacks, geopolitical upheavals, or counterparty default risk of fragmentation and uncertainty, many business leaders are by! Founder of Eurasia Group, the company could Apply the warning system to the sectors in which it...., impose embargos or prohibit trade with specific countries historical data series serving as inputs to.... Timely action if there is unrest onshore it could spill out into territorial waters, as seen! The leading global political risk analysis and consulting firm started in 1998 customers and environment credit liquidity... For broadcasters and publishers, Explore our tax and Internationally it poses increasing management challenges, particularly at board.. Jinping has called the main battleground of global power rivalry leaders are responding by intensifying their focus resilience... Identify challenges before they become problems from algorithms for global influence is likely to reach its highest since!